Board Thread:General Discussion/@comment-35057464-20180510153002/@comment-34063234-20180514163519

RemoteCats wrote: PrincessSpartan wrote: RemoteCats wrote: Well...chance works in mysterious ways, the more you try to get something based on luck, and the  more you do not get it, the more likely you are to get it on subsequent attempts. Because it may be a low outcome for this event to happen, but it also happens. Think of it like the move Horn drill in pokemon. It is REALLY hard to hit with but is a one-hit KO. Use it once It misses, use it again and it misses again, use it a 3rd time, miss agaain, but then you hit with it 2 times in a row. Because eventually the totaal outcomes will equaal to the total formula.

Wait that's too much math, I'll simplify it. The more you try the more likely you are to get it because you get more chances. That entire first paragraph was pointless because the entire first sentence was wrong. As you stated in the last sentence, trying more increases the chances of getting it overall, but not getting it in X attempts doesn't at all increase your chances of getting it in subsequent attempts. A 1 in 100 chance is still 1 in 100 each time. In 1000 tries, you have 1000 chances to get the required number N, but each chance is still 1 in 100, whether you try it a million or a billion times. well if you try a million times your probably going to get a lot of them....because it's a lot of chances But the chance is still exactly the same allllllllllll the way through.